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Wird GILT die erforderliche Zahl an Unterstützungserklärungen für die Nationalratswahl 2019 erhalte...

  • Es gilt die von GILT bekanntgegebene Zahl rechtzeitig eingelangter Unterstützungserklärungen ("UE"). "Rechtzeitig" bedeutet so eingelangt, dass GILT die erforderlichen UE bis spätestens 2. August 2019 17:00 Uhr bei der jeweiligen Landeswahlbehörde abgeben kann. "Nein, nirgendwo" heisst dass GILT in keinem Bundesland die erforderliche Zahl an UE erhält "Nein, nicht überall" bedeutet, dass für ein oder mehr Bundesländer nicht genügend UE einlangen. "Knapp, aber doch" bedeutet, dass GILT spätestens am 2. August genügend UE melden kann. "Ja, locker" bedeutet dass GILT schon am 29. Juli überall genügend UE melden kann.
    • Due: Aug. 2, 2019, 11:00:00
    • Settled
    Invaluable

    2019년 코스피 지수를 예측해 보세요 (19.6月末)?

  • 한국증권거래소
    • Due: June 30, 2019, 11:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 200.00

    2018년 연말 기준 한국의 기준 금리는 얼마일까요?

  • 한국은행 공식 홈페이지
    • Due: Dec. 31, 2018, 10:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 200.00

    2018년 한국시리즈 우승팀을 맞춰보세요?

  • KBO 공식 홈페이지
    • Due: Nov. 3, 2018, 11:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 200.00

    What will the exchange rate of US$ per Bitcoin be at the end of 2013?

  • The question will be judged by the weighted average of the last five ticks from active Bitcoin exchanges before the end of the year 2013 (US Pacific time).
    • Due: Jan. 1, 2014, 03:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 133.98

    Will Donald Trump be a good President, and why?

  • The question shall be judged by the final - i.e. not the average - approval rating of Donald Trump as determined by the combined approval rating of FiveThirtyEight at the end of his first presidency term, expected to finish in January 2021. If Donald Trump's presidency ends earlier, it shall be the last rating prior to this. Here is to the source: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/ If Donald Trump's final approval rating puts him among the top 3 (1-3) presidents since Harry Truman the questions shall be judged "Very Good", a lower top 5 rank (4-5) is "Good". A place among the bottom 3 (11-13) shall make him "Very bad", a better bottom 5 rank (9-10) is just "Bad". A rank from 6-8 will be judged as "Average". Note: The Gallup source originally defined for this question's judgement could be biased and will not be used: http://www.gallup.com/poll/116677/Presidential-Approval-Ratings-Gallup-Historical-Statistics-Trends.aspx
    • Due: Jan. 21, 2021, 00:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 100.00

    How many OECD countries will have drone delivery services by 2020?

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the number of OECD countries which have at least one active privately-owned commercial drone delivery service in 2020. For the avoidance of doubt, defunct or closed services do not count, neither do government owned or operated services.
    • Due: Dec. 31, 2020, 18:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 100.00

    Is there a cryptocurrency bubble building in 2017 and by when will it burst?

  • Early 2017 saw a huge rise in the total market capitalisation of several cryprocurrencies. New highs following one after the other. A decrease of 30% of total market cap from any all time high reached during 2017 shall be defined as a bubble. The day on which the threshold is reached defines the quarter in which the bubble burst. Measure is the total market capitalization, as defined on https://coinmarketcap.com/charts
    • Due: Dec. 31, 2017, 18:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 100.00

    What will the court rule in the case of Oscar Pistorius, the Blade Runner, who shot and killed his ...

  • First trial result, before any appeals, after bail hearing. If convicted of multiple charges, the one carrying the highest prison term will be judged as the Final Answer.
    • Due:
    • Settled
    USD 100.00

    Which team will win the 2014 PBA Commissioner's Cup?

  • The official result sanctioned by the Philippine Basketball Association (PBA) at the end of this conference will be binding. The "None" answer captures the unlikely event that no team wins the championship. This could be due to a number of extraneous variables, ranging from the cancellation of key games due to weather calamities, or the forfeiture of the entire conference in favor of Philippine Team (SMART Gilas) practices in preparation for the FIBA Basketball World Cup, among other reasons.
    • Due: May 23, 2014, 12:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 100.00

    Will income inequality increase in Europe in 2013?

  • Ratio between top and bottom 20% of income distribution. Judgement by data from Eurostat.
    • Due: Dec. 31, 2013, 18:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 100.00

    Quale candidato vincerà le elezioni primarie del Partito Democratico il prossimo 8 dicembre 2013?

  • Sulla base dell'annuncio ufficiale dei risultati da PD pubblicato sul sito http://www.primariepd2013.it/ oppure http://www.partitodemocratico.it/. Gli acquisti di titoli virtuali del vincitore saranno valutati al 100% e quelli di un altro candidato allo 0%.
    • Due: Dec. 7, 2013, 18:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 100.00

    Which of these brands of shampoo will have the highest user satisfaction in the 2013 study?

  • This question relates to the UK shampoo study of December 2013 by GMI (see "Topics"). Panelists are asked to rank their satisfaction with each brand they used in terms of meeting their personal needs for a shampoo.
    • Due: Jan. 8, 2014, 19:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 80.00

    When will U.S. house prices peak before the next crisis?

  • This question shall be judged by the time when the maximum level is reached by the S&P Case Shiller 10-Cities Composite House price index before a cumulative correction by 50 index points or more. As of 17 July 2018 the index was 223 points.
    • Due: July 18, 2018, 00:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 60.00

    GMI 2013 UK shampoo market study: Which reason will panelists mention most often for chosing the br...

  • This question relates to the GMI UK shampoo market study of December 2013 (also see "Topic" below).
    • Due: Jan. 8, 2014, 19:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 60.00

    Will Ethereum overtake Bitcoin in 2017 at least on one day, and by how much?

  • Criteria: Ether marketcap divided by Bitcoin marketcap on a given day (24h) gives the answer percentage. Source of judgement data: https://coinmarketcap.com/#USD. If this site ceases operation or becomes unreliable, judgement data shall be taken from the top ranked site listed on Google with the search term "crypto market capitalisation".
    • Due: Dec. 31, 2017, 19:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 50.00

    What relationship will the UK and the EU agree after the Brexit?

  • If the UK notifies the EU of its intent to withdraw from the EU, the following subsequent outcomes are possible in accordance to the EU Treaties: 1. “European Economic Area” (EEA) means that the UK joins as a party to the Agreement on a European Economic Area (Norway model). 2. “Bilateral Agreements” means a set of bilateral agreements between UK and the EU (Switzerland model). 3. Withdraws means the UK withdraws its notification to withdraw from the EU within 2 years. 4. The EU may extend the withdrawal agreement negotiation period beyond 2 years. 5. The withdrawal may become effective 2 years after the Brexit notification without the UK and the EU reaching an agreement about a special relationship. If the UK does not notify the EU of its intent to withdraw within a reasonable period, the question shall be settled prematurely at the market prices prevalent before such notification becomes unrealistic.
    • Due: Dec. 31, 2019, 18:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 50.00

    Wird GILT die erforderliche Anzahl von Unterstützungserklärungen erhalten?

  • Es gilt die von GILT bekanntgegebene Zahl rechtzeitig eingelangter Unterstützungserklärungen ("UE"). "Rechtzeitig" bedeutet so eingelangt, dass GILT die erforderlichen UE bis spätestens 18. August 17 Uhr bei der jeweiligen Landes- und Bundeswahlbehörde abgeben kann. "Nein, nirgendwo" heisst dass GILT in keinem Bundesland die erforderliche Zahl an UE erhält "Nein, nicht überall" bedeutet, dass für ein oder mehr Bundesländer nicht genügend UE einlangen. "Ja, locker" bedeutet dass GILT schon am 14. August überall genügend UE melden kann. "Knapp, aber doch" bedeutet, dass GILT spätestestens am 18. August genügend UE melden kann.
    • Due: Aug. 18, 2017, 11:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 50.00

    Which TV brand will win the EISA award 2017/18 for best high-end TV?

  • This question will be settled according to the winner of the EISA Best Product in the High-End TV category for 2017/18. The EISA Annual General Meeting in the end of June will decide the winner to be published on 15th August 2017.
    • Due: June 30, 2017, 18:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 50.00

    How many 4k TV (Ultra HD TV) units will be sold in 2016?

  • This question shall be judged by the 4k TV units sold worldwide in the calendar year 2016 as reported by market research report form a reputable and competent source.
    • Due: Dec. 31, 2016, 18:00:00
    • Settled
    USD 50.00
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