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POLITICS > WAR > RUSSO-UKRAINIAN WAR

What will be the outcome of the Russo-Ukrainian war of 2022?

Russia declares victory and partly withdraws (40%)

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Active	USD 40
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 40

REGION > OCEANIA > AUSTRALIA

Will the majority of Australians vote in favor of same-sex marriage in the upcoming ballot?

Yes (80%)

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REGION > NORTH AMERICA > UNITED STATES > PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS (UNITED STATES)

Will Elon Musk be elected as US president and when?

2036 (15%)

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War

Russo-Ukrainian War

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Democracy

POLITICS > DEMOCRACY > DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTIONS OF THE UNITED STATES

How will Supreme Court Job approval change in 2019?

Lower (61%)

POLITICS > DEMOCRACY > NEW DEMARCHY FOUNDATION

Will New Demarchy produce better policy impact forecasts than professional politicians already in 2016?

Slightly better (PI +5 to +10 %) (41%)

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Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 10
Total	USD 10

POLITICS > DEMOCRACY > NEW DEMARCHY FOUNDATION

When will New Demarchy complete its first successful pilot project?

2020, later, or never (80%)

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Settled	USD 10
Total	USD 10

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Government

Legislation

POLITICS > GOVERNMENT > LEGISLATION > COMPANY LAW

Wie lange müssen Firmenbuchänderungen noch in Papierform im Amtsblatt zur Wiener Zeitung veröffentlicht werden?

Später, aber noch in dieser Legislaturperiode (32%)

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International politics

Brexit

POLITICS > INTERNATIONAL POLITICS

Wird die wirtschaftliche Blockbildung USA/China zwischen 2022 und 2025 zunehmen?

-5 bis -20 % (leichte Blockbildung (42%)

POLITICS

What relationship will the UK and the EU agree after the Brexit?

Bilateral agreements between UK and EU (37%)

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Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 50
Total	USD 50

REGION > EUROPE > EUROPEAN UNION > BREXIT

When will the UK declare the Brexit?

Q2 2017 (32%)

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Settled	USD 20
Total	USD 20

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UK Politics

UK Prime Minster

POLITICS > UK POLITICS > UK PRIME MINSTER

Who will replace Boris Johnson as the Prime Minister of the UK?

Liz Truss (67%)

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Presidential Elections (United States)

REGION > NORTH AMERICA > UNITED STATES > PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS (UNITED STATES) > PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION (UNITED STATES, 2016)

How many electoral votes will Hillary Clinton (D) win in the 2016 US presidential election?

280 - 300 (30%)

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Settled	USD 50
Total	USD 50

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Österreichische Innenpolitik

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New Zealand Politics

REGION > OCEANIA > NEW ZEALAND > NEW ZEALAND POLITICS

Who will win the Auckland mayoral election 2019?

Phil Goff (41%)

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Italian politics

REGION > EUROPE > ITALY > ITALIAN POLITICS > REFERENDUM COSTITUZIONALE 2016

Il 4 dicembre 2016 ci sarà il Referendum Costituzionale. Quale percentuale di elettori voterà “Sì”?

>48 - 50% (9%)

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Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 38
Total	USD 38

REGION > EUROPE > ITALY > ITALIAN POLITICS > REFERENDUM COSTITUZIONALE 2016

Se al Referendum Costituzionale vincerà il “Sì”, quale sarà il principale motivo a supporto di tale risultato?

Diminuzione parlamentari (41%)

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 38
Total	USD 38

REGION > EUROPE > ITALY > ITALIAN POLITICS > REFERENDUM COSTITUZIONALE 2016

Se al Referendum Costituzionale vincerà il “No”, quale sarà il principale motivo a supporto di tale risultato?

Dimissioni Renzi (22%)

Upcoming	USD 0
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Settled	USD 38
Total	USD 38

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States

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Referendum

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