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Business

Which industry will the world's first trillionaire emerge from, and why?

Software or hardware (45%)

Views: 10,071
Transactions: 318
Messages: 50
Traders: 101

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will Tesla deploy 1,500 Gwh or more of energy storage by 2030??

Yes (63%)

Views: 1,277
Transactions: 9
Messages: 2
Traders: 8

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will Tesla have 100% self-driving a car driving on public roads by June 30th 2023?

No (62%)

Views: 1,666
Transactions: 34
Messages: 7
Traders: 23

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will Tesla sell 20 million or more vehicles in the year of 2030?

Yes (57%)

Views: 1,643
Transactions: 23
Messages: 4
Traders: 13

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Sports

Will Alabama win the National Championship?

No (53%)

Views: 1,380
Transactions: 7
Messages: 0
Traders: 5

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will France win the Euro 2024?

No (54%)

Views: 529
Transactions: 3
Messages: 0
Traders: 3

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will England win the EURO 2024?

No (55%)

Views: 477
Transactions: 1
Messages: 0
Traders: 1

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Who will win the EURO 2024?

France (27%)

Views: 1,123
Transactions: 11
Messages: 2
Traders: 8

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will Italy win the UEFA Women's Euro Engrand 2022?

No (56%)

Views: 1,351
Transactions: 3
Messages: 0
Traders: 3

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Technology

Welches ist die disruptivste emergente Technologie 2022, und warum?

HealthTech (23%)

Views: 3,402
Transactions: 87
Messages: 23
Traders: 28

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Justice

Who will win the SEC's lawsuit against Ripple Labs?

Ripple Labs wins (42%)

Views: 7,178
Transactions: 372
Messages: 36
Traders: 95

USD 20

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 20
Total	USD 20

Politics

Will Joe Biden be a good President, and why?

Average (48%)

Views: 5,442
Transactions: 288
Messages: 57
Traders: 69

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Who will win the 2024 US presidential election? No prediction yet

Views: 119
Transactions: 0
Messages: 0
Traders: 0

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Trading suspended

Business

Will Elon Musk buy Twitter? No prediction yet

Views: 1,010
Transactions: 0
Messages: 1
Traders: 0

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Economics

How much do you expect your salary to be after the MBA? No prediction yet

Views: 994
Transactions: 0
Messages: 0
Traders: 0

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Closed questions

Business

How many OECD countries will have drone delivery services by 2020?

3 to 5 (73%)

Views: 12,422
Transactions: 1,307
Messages: 243
Traders: 335

USD 100

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 100
Total	USD 100

Sports

Who will be the winner of the NFL SuperBowl on 2.4.18?

Patriots (17%)

Views: 2,441
Transactions: 17
Messages: 3
Traders: 2

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Who will win the Russia vs Saudi Arabia match?

Russia (50%)

Views: 2,313
Transactions: 10
Messages: 0
Traders: 2

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Technology

Will the Playstation 4 or the Xbox One sell more consoles worldwide by March 29th, 2014?

Sony Playstation 4 (88%)

Views: 7,063
Transactions: 107
Messages: 27
Traders: 35

USD 10

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 10
Total	USD 10

Will the new Microsoft tablet dominate Android tablets?

No (76%)

Views: 8,835
Transactions: 80
Messages: 26
Traders: 31

USD 10

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 10
Total	USD 10

What price will the base model Google Glass retail for in USD?

$500 to $749 USD (29%)

Views: 15,099
Transactions: 972
Messages: 130
Traders: 21

USD 5

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 5
Total	USD 5

0%
Confidential question
- Views: 258
- Transactions: 17
- Messages: 0
- Traders: 5
USD 0

0 Cr.

Economics

What will the exchange rate of US$ per Bitcoin be at the end of 2013?

200 US$ or more (69%)

Views: 13,298
Transactions: 160
Messages: 9
Traders: 28

USD 134

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 134
Total	USD 134

Will income inequality increase in Europe in 2013?

Yes (98%)

Views: 7,222
Transactions: 244
Messages: 30
Traders: 81

USD 100

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 100
Total	USD 100

When will U.S. house prices peak before the next crisis?

2021 or later (78%)

Views: 4,816
Transactions: 478
Messages: 54
Traders: 132

USD 60

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 60
Total	USD 60

Will automation cause rising unemployment by 2020?

Up to 54% (71%)

Views: 4,573
Transactions: 370
Messages: 59
Traders: 93

USD 10

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 10
Total	USD 10

What price will the base model Google Glass retail for in USD?

$500 to $749 USD (29%)

Views: 15,099
Transactions: 972
Messages: 130
Traders: 21

USD 5

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 5
Total	USD 5

How many units of the iPad mini will be sold from its launch in Q4 2012 through the end of Q1 2013?

Over 10 million units (56%)

Views: 4,892
Transactions: 39
Messages: 1
Traders: 11

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will the US Dollar catch-up to Euro again by the 28th of July (1.00$=1.00€)?

No (55%)

Views: 838
Transactions: 2
Messages: 3
Traders: 1

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Politics

Will Donald Trump be a good President, and why?

Very bad (71%)

Views: 19,055
Transactions: 2,437
Messages: 525
Traders: 562

USD 100

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 100
Total	USD 100

What relationship will the UK and the EU agree after the Brexit?

Bilateral agreements between UK and EU (37%)

Views: 10,313
Transactions: 813
Messages: 104
Traders: 215

USD 50

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 50
Total	USD 50

Brexit (i.e. the UK leaving the EU): What percentage will the Leave side achieve?

41-50% (11%)

Views: 3,932
Transactions: 8
Messages: 2
Traders: 2

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will Christine Meyer be removed as head of Statistics Norway before December 1. 2017?

Yes (59%)

Views: 3,906
Transactions: 33
Messages: 6
Traders: 4

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will president of South Africa Jacob Zuma serve out his full presidential term?

resigned (37%)

Views: 2,444
Transactions: 37
Messages: 5
Traders: 2

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will Donald Trump finish his current term as President of the United States of America?

Yes (90%)

Views: 4,344
Transactions: 227
Messages: 78
Traders: 117

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Wer wird am 31. Dezember 2021 Bundeskanzler der Bundesrepublik Deutschland sein?

Olaf Scholz (26%)

Views: 1,483
Transactions: 10
Messages: 1
Traders: 4

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Which political party will win the 2013 Australian Federal election?

Liberal Party of Australia (39%)

Views: 4,835
Transactions: 10
Messages: 5
Traders: 5

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will Mr. Mario Draghi still be the Italian Prime Minister after 21 July 2022?

Yes (59%)

Views: 1,902
Transactions: 8
Messages: 1
Traders: 7

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will Scotland vote Yes or No to upcoming referendum which will ask "should Scotland be an independent country?"?

No: Less than 45% (53%)

Views: 7,681
Transactions: 60
Messages: 15
Traders: 17

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

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